Hmmmm interesting problem, my guts are saying you're right about the grounding problem I've seen it do some really strange things. That said, and remember I'm no expert, I'd have REAL concerns about running *anything* ungrounded a few inches over salt water. Did the advance ballasts not have a ground wire lead? I am in the process of building a 220 and all ballasts that I have gotten so far came with a ground lead. A 40 watt ballast is inexpensive enough to justify swapping it out for a grounded one (IMO). I'm just a born coward when it comes to electricity and water I guess cuz all 14 outlets on my tank are GFCI even though I could have protected both circuits with just one GFCI on the start of the line LOL, just have visions of my soon to be "house guests" with their little fins standing straight out when I wake up one morning. Good luck to you in tracking down the problem but be careful shaking ungrounded lights around too much.
Later, Paul