I'm not really sure how the environment would play into the life expectancy as far as moisture.....Technically the emitter is sealed......I might be wrong someone correct me on that, but I would assume it is sealed, because I remember people using super glue to glue on lenses had issues with the actually LED being affected, so that's why my thinking leads me to believe they are sealed. I think a big factor would be keeping them well cooled, and not over driving or pushing them close to their limits, but just as any bulb or light you'll have those rare instances, but at least with a DIY rig, it could easily be swapped out.
My thinking is even with the AI's & Radions, they definitely would have replacement pucks that could be swapped out fairly easy, but at what cost who knows.......Drivers I would say wouldn't be much different than a MH or fluorescent ballast as far as life expectancy, and again keeping them cool and air circulating around them might help some possibly.......